主办单位:中国气象局沈阳大气环境研究所
国际刊号:ISSN 1673-503X
国内刊号:CN 21-1531/P

Journal of Meteorology and Environment ›› 2016, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (6): 10-18.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2016.06.002

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Verification and modification to spring air quality forecasted by CUACE system in Shenyang

LI Xiao-lan1, MA Yan-jun1, WANG Yang-feng1, ZHAO Hu-jia1, LIU Hong-li2   

  1. 1. Institute of Atmospheric Environment, CMA, Shenyang 110166, China;
    2. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:2015-09-09 Revised:2016-01-26 Online:2016-12-31 Published:2016-12-31

Abstract: The performance of the CUACE system for spring air quality forecasts in Shenyang was verified and modified using the atmospheric environment observational data during April and May 2015.The results indicate that its forecasting for the mass concentrations of six pollutants,i.e.,PM10,PM2.5,NO2,O3,SO2,and CO,is generally smaller than the observed values,especially for the PM10 concentration that is significantly underestimated.The PM2.5 is daily primary pollutant in spring in Shenyang predicted by the CUACE system,while the observations show that there is comparable number of days when PM10 and PM2.5 both are the primary pollutants.Meanwhile,there is a large difference in the air pollution grades forecasted by the CUACE system and determined by the observations.The results forecasted by the CUACE system are modified using a linear fitting formula based on the forecasting and observed pollutants' concentrations.Through this modification,the forecasting results on the primary pollutants are principally consistent with the observed ones.Furthermore,the forecasting accuracy on the air pollution grade is improved by about 50% to 80%.

Key words: CUACE system, Air quality, Dust event, Primary pollutant, Deviation ratio

CLC Number: